November 2024 Market Outlook

man is looking stack coins with man holding pen his hand

Malaysia property market landscape remains robust with a positive foreign direct investment (FDI) outlook in the short to medium term,  According to the Malaysian Investment Development Authority (Mida)’s announcement, the country secured RM85.4 billion in foreign investments during the first half of 2024 (1H2024), with Austria leading the contributions at RM30.1 billion, followed by Singapore (RM16.5 billion), China (RM9.8 billion), the Netherlands (RM4 billion) and Taiwan (RM2.4 billion).

Singapore is home to many Malaysians, with 300-350k daily commuters crossing the Johor – Singapore causeway, making it one of the busiest border crossings in the world. Hence the Foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing from Singapore to Malaysia continued to increase.

Notably, foreign investments represented 53.4% of the total approved investments of RM160 billion, while domestic investments made up the remaining 46.6% or RM74.6 billion.

The RM160 billion in total approved investments marked an 18% increase year on year (y-o-y), from RM135.6 billion in 1H2023. These investments span the services (RM97.2 billion), manufacturing (RM60.1 billion) and primary (RM2.7 billion) sectors, and involve 2,948 projects expected to create 79,187 new jobs.

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Source: Mida

Data Centre Boom to Benefit Developer

The data centre boom in Malaysia, particularly in Johor, is expected to offer significant opportunities for real estate developers and investors. Especially for Johor, due to its strategic location, favourable business environment, and improving digital infrastructure, it is becoming an increasingly important hub for data centres. Several factors are contributing to this trend, making it a key growth sector for the region.

According to CNA’s report, Johor is expected to attract another USD 3.6 billion in new data centre investments this year alone. All these efforts are lauded by the Malaysian government with support in building out industrial parks with over 500 acres in size.

Related Data Centres Announcement For Developers

Company

Operator

Structure

Selling Price psf

(RM)

Estimated Land Cost psf (RM)

Estimated Net Margin

Total Value (RMm)

Size MW

Klang Valley

Sime Darby Property

Google

Build to lease

(49 acres)

n.a

n.a

n.a

2,000

80             (can scale up to 100mw)

Mah Sing

Bridge Data Centre

JV Partners

(18 acres)

160

18.57

60%

TBD

100            (can scale up to 500MW)

Johor

JLand

Princeton

Land Sale

Sedernak

(31 acres)

n.a

n.a

n.a

n.a

150

Ame Elite

Digital hyperspace Malaysia

Land Sale

Iskandar Puteri

(35 acres)

138

58.53

41.0%

210

n.a

Axis Reit

Not disclose

Land Sale

SILC

(27 acres)

138

130.5

0.3%

162

n.a

Paragon

Bridge data center

Land Sale
Plentong

(48 acres)

114

28.9

29%

238

n.a

Crescendo

STT

Land Sale
Nusa Cemerlang
(22 acres)

120

10-15

58%

117

n.a

Crescendo

Yu Ao

Land Sale

Nusa Cemerlang
(20 acres)

125

15

57%

111

n.a

Crescendo

Microsoft

Land Sale
Nusa Cemerlang
(60 acres)

120

15

55%

315

n.a

Crescendo

Microsoft

Land Sale
Nusa Cemerlang
(25 acres)

120

15

61%

132

n.a

UEMS

Logos

Collaboration – Iskandar Puteri
(74 acres)

TBD

n.a

n.a

TBD

360

ECW

Microsoft

Land Sale -Kulai
(123 acres)

75

12

40-50%

403

n.a

UEMS

Not Disclose

Land Sale –        Iskandar Puteri

 (29 acres)

115

70

27%

145

n.a

Crescendo

Halo Digital

Land Sale- Nusa Cemerlang

130

18

61%

116

n.a

River Retreat (80% Khazanah, 20% IWH)

Telekom-Singtel

Land Sale- Iskandar Puteri
(41.8 acres)

98.03

n.a

n.a

178.23 for land cost only (RM9 b investment)

64 (but can scale up to 200MW)

Sunway

Equalbase

Land Sale- Iskandar Puteri (64 acres)

136

60-70

40-50

380

n.a

All the Stimulus – Iskandar 1.0 /FCSFZ/JS-SEZ /Labuan Financial zone/ SG incentives for foreigner

New incentives for the Forest City Special Financial Zone (FCSFZ) were unveiled, aimed at attracting financial services to establish operations and revitalise the area. What caught our eyes include a 0% tax rate for up to 20 years for family offices with a minimum AUM of RM30m, and exemptions on property transfer stamp duty, making it an appealing option for wealthy individuals, particularly from China. Compared with Singapore, where family offices must have a minimum AUM of S$10m (approximately RM34m) under Section 13O, and SGD 50m under Section 13U, Forest City provides a more accessible entry point.

15% personal income tax rate for a wider audience including Malaysians working in FCSFZ, which previously only applied to select industries in Iskandar Malaysia, to attract skilled professionals. To compare with Singapore, non-residents face a flat 15% tax on employment income, while other incomes, like director’s fees, are taxed at 22-24%. Additionally, a 5% tax rate for up to 20 years for fintech and financial services companies fosters a tech-driven ecosystem in Forest City, shifting the focus from Iskandar 1.0’s traditional sectors like manufacturing to high-value industries.

Aspect

Iskandar 1.0 (2006)

FCSFZ (2024)

JS-SEZ (2024)

Labuan Financial Zone (IBFC)

Singapore Incentives for Foreigners

Main Focus

Broad regional development (Industrial, residential, tourism)

Financial services, technology, family offices, fintech

Cross-border trade, financial services, technology, healthcare

Offshore financial services, Islamic finance, wealth management

Family offices, tax incentives for non-residents, digital economy

Geopolitical Focus

Malaysia’s southern development

Attracting foreign investment into Malaysia financial sector

Malaysia-Singapore economic cooperation

Offshore jurisdiction for international business and investors

Global financial hub, focus on wealth management

Key Sectors

Manufacturing, education, healthcare, tourism

Fintech, insurance, capital markets, family officers

Electronics, financial services, digital economy, healthcare

Banking, insurance, Islamic finance, trust management, insurance

Private health management. hedge funds, corporate structure

Incentives

-Corporate Tax Exemptions

Up to 10 years for key sectors like manufacturing, logistics, education and healthcare.
-ITA 100% allowance on capital expenditures for up to 5 years

-Expatriate Employment Easier work Visa and multiple entry visa for foreign professionals

-0% tax rate for family office

-Special tax rates for corporate between 0%-5%

– Individual income tax rate of 15%

-special tax rate of 5% for financial global business services

-Allowing foreign banks to expand more branches within the SFZ with foreign exchange flexibilities

-Passport Free Travel: exploring a QR code-based passport free system for travel between SG and Johor

-Enhanced infrastructure: strong focus on importing infrastructure, including Johor SG link to ease travel and attract more talent.

-New Tax Incentives: The SEZ will introduce special tax incentive for sector like finance and tech, with a 15% flat tax rate for skilled worker

-5-6 High Value Priority Sectors including electronics, logistics, pharma, education, healthcare, digital economy and finance

-3% tax on net audited profits or flat tax of RM20,000
-No withholding tax on dividends and interest

-15% flat tax rate for single family offices
-No capital gains tax for non-residents.
-Corporate tax exemptions for qualified investors and fund management firms

-Family Office AUM requirement

-S13O: SGD 10m AUM initially, increase to SGD20m within 2 years

-S13U: SGD 50m AUM, requires 10% or SGD 10m invested in SG based assets 

Government support

Malaysia’s federal and state initiatives

Malaysia’s federal involvement with special fiscal and non-fiscal incentives

High-level collaboration between Malaysia and SG governments

Malaysian federal government, governed under Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA)

Strong support from Monetary Authority of SG (MAS)

Connectivity Projects

-Nusa Jaya city development

-Iskandar waterfront

Forest city

RTS linking JB to SG, potential revival of KL-SG HSR by 2026

Relies on digital and air connections

Well-establish infrastructure, close links to global markets

Targeted investment

Domestic and international investors

Family office, financial institutions, fintech, insurance company

SG business, international firms, financial institutions

International company, wealth management firms, Islamic finance

Ultra-high net worth individuals (UHNWs), private health management, hedge funds

Key infrastructure

Flagship zones (e.g. Nusa Jaya, western gate development, eastern gate development)

Forest city project

Focus on better infrastructure connectivity (RTS, possible HSR revival)

Offshore banking, trust companies, reinsurance hubs, Islamic finance

Well-developed financial ecosystem, efficient regulatory framework

Special features

Strong manufacturing and logistics components

Duty free island, exclusive digital status for business, MM2H special category

Enhanced cross border cooperation, attracting SG business and talent

Specialized tax regime, regulatory flexibility, gateway to ASEAN markets

No estate and inheritance tax, no capital gains tax, corporate tax incentives for venture capitals.

Demand front led to the improvement for both residential and non-residential loan application approval rate.

Demand led to the improvement for both residential and non-residential loan application approval rate for the first 3 quarters of 2024, residential property loan applications grew 3% cumulatively to RM347b, while residential property loans approved over the same period rose 3%to RM146b. Non-residential loan applications for the first 3 quarters of 2024 grew 7% to RM129b, while non-residential property loans approved over the same period expanded 19% to RM67b.

Overall, earnings growth in the first three quarter of 2024 for property companies was positive, driven by higher recognition from property projects as the labour shortage issue was resolved while improving new property sales has also supported earnings growth.

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Source: BNM, CEIC

Malaysia property index vs SG Real Estate Index vs KLCI vs STI

The chart below indicates that performance of Malaysia properties index, is leading for the past 3 years with 76% total gain and follow by Straits Time Index (STI) 45% gain, FTSE KLCI index ranked no 3 with 9.5% gain and Singapore Real Estate Index delivered a negative return with 14% loss for past 3 years.

The performance of property stocks in Malaysia outperforming those in Singapore can be attributed to several macroeconomic, market, and sector-specific factors.

The yields on Malaysian real estate can often be more attractive, especially in comparison to the low yields in Singapore’s high-priced property market. With lower property prices, investors in Malaysia can secure properties that generate higher rental returns relative to their capital investment. For example, in cities like Kuala Lumpur, Penang, and Johor Bahru, investors can often secure properties at a lower cost per square foot compared to Singapore, and rental yields can range anywhere from 4% to 6% annually, or even higher in certain areas. In some parts of Malaysia, the rental yield could go beyond 7% or 8%, especially with strategic property selection, such as in areas with high demand for long-term rentals or near new infrastructure projects. Whereas, In Singapore, the average rental yield for residential properties typically ranges from 3% to 5% per year. This is considered relatively low compared to many other countries, including Malaysia, due to the high cost of property in Singapore.

Greater Regional Growth Potential for Malaysia’s properties market, FDI inflows in high-value sectors such as green technology, data centres, and renewable energy have bolstered economic activity which led to more potential for development, particularly in emerging growth regions such as Johor Iskandar Malaysia. These areas have seen significant infrastructural investments, making them attractive to developers and investors.

Lastly, the Malaysian government has introduced various initiatives to stimulate the property market, such as stamp duty exemptions, affordable housing programs, and incentives for first-time homebuyers. These measures have helped to support demand for housing and bolster property developer earnings.

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Source: trading view, Oct 24

Malaysia GDP growth rate vs SG GDP growth rate

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Source: trading view, Oct 2024

As of June 2024, Malaysia’s GDP growth rate has indeed surpassed Singapore’s. This trend reflects Malaysia’s recovery and expansion in various sectors, including manufacturing and services. In contrast, Singapore has been experiencing slower growth due to its reliance on global economic conditions.

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